AMON HENthe Seat of Seeing · Hyperliquid
Amon Hen · the Seat of Seeing · read № 55

Winners, losers and the state of Hyperliquid

The winners who last are 0 % long, at 4.25x. Over a day, the winners sold a net $7.12M of BTC; the losers sold a net $4.49M of HYPE. Holding a position costs 6.5 % a year, and 2.09M HYPE are walking out of staking.

Read 15 Nov 2026 at 02:05 UTC · the towers every five minutes · Erebor every hour · It watches; it does not foretell.

Winners long

beacon lit
0.1 %-0.30 pp since 14 Nov 2026Persistent cohort, sampled book

Cost of leverage

6.5 %/yr+8.79 pp since 14 Nov 2026OI-weighted funding; longs pay when positive

Open interest

$11.16B-$1.16B (-9.4 %) since 14 Nov 202639.6 % on builder DEXs

Leaving staking

2.09M HYPE1,133 requests over 7 daysBecoming liquid, not a sale
I · Minas Tirith · Minas Morgul

The Captains

Sixty-odd captains, watched trade by trade. They disagree on BTC: one camp buys what the other sells.

The Captains' duel, last 24 hours

Net flow of each camp on each asset: buying to the outside, selling to the inside. Flows are not gains: plain ink.

Winnersprice 24hLosers
sold $7.12M
BTC-2.67 %
bought $443.6k
flat
ETH-4.16 %
bought $1.20M
flat
SOL-5.05 %
bought $126.7k
sold $2.91M
HYPE-1.66 %
sold $4.49M

Winners' long share

Long exposure over gross, persistent cohort
0.10 %-0.30 pp since the last read

Their gross leverage

Exposure over equity, sampled book
4.25x+0.01x (+0.2 %) since the last read

Accounts in a position

Of the cohort accounts probed
86.70 %0.00 pp since the last read

Winners' 30d PnL

Persistent cohort, as the leaderboard reports it
+$939.64M+$294.89M (+45.7 %) since the last read

High-turnover 30d PnL

Accounts turning over 100x or more
-$233.68M-$26.86M (-13.0 %) since the last read

Small accounts underwater

Under $100k, negative all-time PnL
66.30 %+0.30 pp since the last read
II · The Pelennor fields

The Host

6,000 accounts, every one read every thirty minutes. Over a day, the winning host bought a net $304.19M of BTC; the losing host sold a net $132.91M of BTC.

The Host, last 24 hours

Net change of every position, from one read to the next, on each asset. Buying to the outside, selling to the inside.

Winning host · 2,512price 24hLosing host · 3,488
bought $304.19M
BTC-2.67 %
sold $132.91M
bought $116.93M
ETH-4.16 %
sold $86.38M
sold $8.64M
SOL-5.05 %
bought $23.85M
bought $51.75M
HYPE-1.66 %
sold $53.50M
Where the Host stands, last sweep

Each bar is the share of the accounts holding the asset that are long; the tick marks one half. The winning host carries 4.04x its equity in open positions, the losing host 4.43x. A position is not a gain.

BTC

  • Winning host27 % long
    net -$391.23M · 523 of 2,059 in a position
  • Losing host88 % long
    net +$371.60M · 715 of 2,843 in a position

ETH

  • Winning host22 % long
    net -$247.00M · 387 of 2,059 in a position
  • Losing host87 % long
    net +$271.70M · 370 of 2,843 in a position

SOL

  • Winning host18 % long
    net -$98.06M · 230 of 2,059 in a position
  • Losing host80 % long
    net +$78.26M · 215 of 2,843 in a position

HYPE

  • Winning host22 % long
    net -$322.89M · 569 of 2,059 in a position
  • Losing host90 % long
    net +$223.37M · 630 of 2,843 in a position
III · Erebor

The state of the realm

Hyperliquid cleared $15.07B in a day. HYPE trades at $68.40.

HYPE price

Hourly, from Erebor
$68.40-1.2 % over 24h

Share of volume

Hyperliquid against its rivals
—among the five venues followed

Protocol fees

Paid to the protocol, by day
$3.41Mlast full day

Open interest

All DEXs, 39.6 % on builder DEXs
$11.16B-$1.16B (-9.4 %) since the last read
IV · The beacons

Two beacons burn tonight

Six thresholds, read every night, one hill each. A lit beacon is a description, not a signal.

The thresholds

Lit when the read crosses them.
  • OI-weighted funding exceeds 15 %/yr6.48 %/yr
  • Sampled cohort gross leverage exceeds 8x4.25x
  • Sampled cohort exposure is over 95 % long or shortlit
  • High-turnover accounts have positive 30d PnL-$233.68M
  • HLP reported APR exceeds 15 %lit
  • BTC implied volatility is below 25 or above 8054.5

What moved since the last read

The largest changes between the two latest nights.
  • OI-weighted funding, Hyperliquid+8.79 pp
  • Persistent cohort 30d PnL+$294.89M (+45.7 %)
  • BTC implied volatility (Deribit)+14.6 (+36.5 %)
  • High-turnover 30d PnL-$26.86M (-13.0 %)
  • Builder DEX share+3.50 pp
V · The road out of Erebor

HYPE leaving staking

2.09M HYPE on the road, 0.5 % of all that is staked. 554k asked to leave in the last day; 52k become liquid within the next.

On the river, day by day

Each withdrawal becomes liquid seven days after it is asked for. Becoming liquid is not a sale.
On the road2.09M HYPE1,133 requests
Asked in the last 24h554k HYPENew withdrawal requests
Liquid within 24h52k HYPEArriving at the gate
Staked, 24h change-420k HYPE438.48M HYPE staked
Becoming liquid, day by day
  • 15 Nov 202611k · 84
  • 16 Nov 2026602k · 155
  • 17 Nov 2026137k · 168
  • 18 Nov 2026347k · 106
  • 19 Nov 2026132k · 141
  • 20 Nov 2026182k · 164
  • 21 Nov 2026611k · 247
  • 22 Nov 202671k · 68
The largest hands leaving
Unstaking, selling and price, on one time axis

Ninety days. Read down a column to see whether a wave of requests, or its release a week later, meets the volume, the price or the revenue. A coincidence here is not a cause.

Asked to leave stakinglast 71k HYPE
Released from stakinglast 20k HYPE
HYPE spot volumelast 920k HYPE
HYPE pricelast $68.50
Protocol revenuelast $3.41M
VI · The gates

Read on

Each tower of the Seat keeps its own watch. Go through the one you need.